Rapid Earthquake Impact Modeling

Project Description

Earthquakes are felt every daily all around the globe. In some cases, damaging effects cannot be avoided and it is difficult, especially during bigger disasters, to estimate the actual impact. But first estimates of the earthquake intensity are important to estimate potential losses and the number of affected population. For this task, a system for disaster cartography has been developed to provide potential disaster impact maps within minutes after an event occurred. Such data can then be used e.g. for loss estimates or mitigation measures.

In case of an earthquake, only few data is available relatively quickly, however with such little information, the system can compute the spatial extent of earthquake intensities. In the course of this, a Monte Carlo simulation computes several 1000 of potential permutations of that same earthquake to take uncertainties into account. The results are then validated through first observations and testimonies. The system has been calibrated by various recent and historic events and is under constant development. The final maps are shared in social media, e.g. Facebook & Twitter.

FACEBOOK: https://www.facebook.com/catnewsde
TWITTER: https://twitter.com/CATnewsDE

 

 

 Andreas Schäfer
Earthquake in the Pacific: CEDIM employee interviewed

In an interview with the Science Media Center, CEDIM expert Andreas Schäfer explains the causes and consequences of the Kamchatka earthquake, emphasising the effectiveness of existing tsunami warning systems.

 

link (in German)

 Andreas Schäfer
CEDIM FDA Report Kamchatka tsunami (Pacific region, July 2025)

As of 30 Juni 2025 23:00 CEST

 

link (in German)

 Andreas Schäfer
CEDIM FDA Report "Mandalay Earthquake Myanmar 2025"

As of 28 March 2025 14:00 CET

 

link

Top100FatalEQ_since1900_Risklayer_CATDAT_750x500.pngJames Daniell
"Predictable and avoidable in its worst consequences"

SRH Campus Report in conversation with Andreas Schäfer about the earthquake in Turkey/Syria in February 2023.

 

link (in German)

AndiAndreas Schäfer
Experts expect worst case scenario of 67,000 dead after Earthquake

KIT experts on current topics

link (In German)

EQ2023 Türkei Syrien kontext Top100James Daniell
CEDIM FDA: Earthquake Turkey Syria Feb. 2023

FDA Report No.1 "Kahramanmaraş & Elbistan Earthquake Turkey", as of 08 February 2022
pdf (in German)

EQ_Afganistan_202206_RE.pngAndreas Schäfer
CEDIM Short Report "Paktika earthquake in Afghanistan"

Short Report as of 5 July 2022

 

pdf

TohokuTsunami.png
10 years after the Tohoku Tsunami

A massive disater in Japan turned into a political debate. The Mw9.1 Tohoku earthquake and the following tsunami left 18,000 casualties and millions of people homeless. The following nuclear accident in Fukushima shook the world. Many questions are still open.

 

link